The first step in a literature search is to construct a well-defined question. This helps in ensuring a comprehensive and efficient search of the available literature for relevant publications on your topic. The well-constructed research question provides guidance for determining search terms and search strategy parameters.
A good or well-constructed research question is:
The question you ask should be developed for the discipline you are studying. A question appropriate for Physical Therapy, for instance, is different from an appropriate one in Sociology, Political Science or Microbiology .
The well-constructed question provides guidance for determining search terms and search strategy parameters. The process of developing a good question to research involves taking your topic and breaking each aspect of it down into its component parts.
One well-established way that can be used both for creating research questions and developing strategies is known as PICO(T). The PICO framework was designed primarily for questions that include clinical interventions and comparisons, however other types of questions may also be able to follow its principles. If the PICO framework does not precisely fit your question, using its principles can help you to think about what you want to explore even if you do not end up with a true PICO question.
Fandino W. (2019). Formulating a good research question: Pearls and pitfalls. Indian journal of anaesthesia , 63 (8), 611–616.
Vandenbroucke, J. P., & Pearce, N. (2018). From ideas to studies: how to get ideas and sharpen them into research questions . Clinical epidemiology , 10 , 253–264.
Ratan, S. K., Anand, T., & Ratan, J. (2019). Formulation of Research Question - Stepwise Approach . Journal of Indian Association of Pediatric Surgeons , 24 (1), 15–20.
Lipowski, E.E. (2008). Developing great research questions. American Journal of Health-System Pharmacy, 65(17) , 1667–1670.
Another set of criteria for developing a research question was proposed by Hulley (2013) and is known as the FINER criteria.
FINER stands for:
Feasible – Writing a feasible research question means that it CAN be answered under objective aspects like time, scope, resources, expertise, or funding. Good questions must be amenable to the formulation of clear hypotheses.
Interesting – The question or topic should be of interest to the researcher and the outside world. It should have a clinical and/or educational significance – the “so what?” factor.
Novel – In scientific literature, novelty defines itself by being an answer to an existing gap in knowledge. Filling one of these gaps is highly rewarding for any researcher as it may represent a real difference in peoples’ lives.
Good research leads to new information. An investigation which simply reiterates what is previously proven is not worth the effort and cost. A question doesn’t have to be completely original. It may ask whether an earlier observation could be replicated, whether the results in one population also apply to others, or whether enhanced measurement methods can make clear the relationship between two variables.
Ethical – In empirical research, ethics is an absolute MUST. Make sure that safety and confidentiality measures are addressed, and according to the necessary IRB protocols.
Relevant – An idea that is considered relevant in the healthcare community has better chances to be discussed upon by a larger number of researchers and recognized experts, leading to innovation and rapid information dissemination.
The results could potentially be important and may change current ideas and/or practice.
Cummings, S.R., Browner, W.S., & Hulley, S.B. (2013). Conceiving the research question and developing the study plan. In: Designing clinical research (Hulley, S. R. Cummings, W. S. Browner, D. Grady, & T. B. Newman, Eds.; Fourth edition.). Wolters Kluwer/Lippincott Williams & Wilkins. Pp. 14-22.
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Methodology
Published on June 19, 2020 by Pritha Bhandari . Revised on September 5, 2024.
Qualitative research involves collecting and analyzing non-numerical data (e.g., text, video, or audio) to understand concepts, opinions, or experiences. It can be used to gather in-depth insights into a problem or generate new ideas for research.
Qualitative research is the opposite of quantitative research , which involves collecting and analyzing numerical data for statistical analysis.
Qualitative research is commonly used in the humanities and social sciences, in subjects such as anthropology, sociology, education, health sciences, history, etc.
Approaches to qualitative research, qualitative research methods, qualitative data analysis, advantages of qualitative research, disadvantages of qualitative research, other interesting articles, frequently asked questions about qualitative research.
Qualitative research is used to understand how people experience the world. While there are many approaches to qualitative research, they tend to be flexible and focus on retaining rich meaning when interpreting data.
Common approaches include grounded theory, ethnography , action research , phenomenological research, and narrative research. They share some similarities, but emphasize different aims and perspectives.
Approach | What does it involve? |
---|---|
Grounded theory | Researchers collect rich data on a topic of interest and develop theories . |
Researchers immerse themselves in groups or organizations to understand their cultures. | |
Action research | Researchers and participants collaboratively link theory to practice to drive social change. |
Phenomenological research | Researchers investigate a phenomenon or event by describing and interpreting participants’ lived experiences. |
Narrative research | Researchers examine how stories are told to understand how participants perceive and make sense of their experiences. |
Note that qualitative research is at risk for certain research biases including the Hawthorne effect , observer bias , recall bias , and social desirability bias . While not always totally avoidable, awareness of potential biases as you collect and analyze your data can prevent them from impacting your work too much.
Each of the research approaches involve using one or more data collection methods . These are some of the most common qualitative methods:
Qualitative researchers often consider themselves “instruments” in research because all observations, interpretations and analyses are filtered through their own personal lens.
For this reason, when writing up your methodology for qualitative research, it’s important to reflect on your approach and to thoroughly explain the choices you made in collecting and analyzing the data.
Qualitative data can take the form of texts, photos, videos and audio. For example, you might be working with interview transcripts, survey responses, fieldnotes, or recordings from natural settings.
Most types of qualitative data analysis share the same five steps:
There are several specific approaches to analyzing qualitative data. Although these methods share similar processes, they emphasize different concepts.
Approach | When to use | Example |
---|---|---|
To describe and categorize common words, phrases, and ideas in qualitative data. | A market researcher could perform content analysis to find out what kind of language is used in descriptions of therapeutic apps. | |
To identify and interpret patterns and themes in qualitative data. | A psychologist could apply thematic analysis to travel blogs to explore how tourism shapes self-identity. | |
To examine the content, structure, and design of texts. | A media researcher could use textual analysis to understand how news coverage of celebrities has changed in the past decade. | |
To study communication and how language is used to achieve effects in specific contexts. | A political scientist could use discourse analysis to study how politicians generate trust in election campaigns. |
Qualitative research often tries to preserve the voice and perspective of participants and can be adjusted as new research questions arise. Qualitative research is good for:
The data collection and analysis process can be adapted as new ideas or patterns emerge. They are not rigidly decided beforehand.
Data collection occurs in real-world contexts or in naturalistic ways.
Detailed descriptions of people’s experiences, feelings and perceptions can be used in designing, testing or improving systems or products.
Open-ended responses mean that researchers can uncover novel problems or opportunities that they wouldn’t have thought of otherwise.
Researchers must consider practical and theoretical limitations in analyzing and interpreting their data. Qualitative research suffers from:
The real-world setting often makes qualitative research unreliable because of uncontrolled factors that affect the data.
Due to the researcher’s primary role in analyzing and interpreting data, qualitative research cannot be replicated . The researcher decides what is important and what is irrelevant in data analysis, so interpretations of the same data can vary greatly.
Small samples are often used to gather detailed data about specific contexts. Despite rigorous analysis procedures, it is difficult to draw generalizable conclusions because the data may be biased and unrepresentative of the wider population .
Although software can be used to manage and record large amounts of text, data analysis often has to be checked or performed manually.
If you want to know more about statistics , methodology , or research bias , make sure to check out some of our other articles with explanations and examples.
Research bias
Quantitative research deals with numbers and statistics, while qualitative research deals with words and meanings.
Quantitative methods allow you to systematically measure variables and test hypotheses . Qualitative methods allow you to explore concepts and experiences in more detail.
There are five common approaches to qualitative research :
Data collection is the systematic process by which observations or measurements are gathered in research. It is used in many different contexts by academics, governments, businesses, and other organizations.
There are various approaches to qualitative data analysis , but they all share five steps in common:
The specifics of each step depend on the focus of the analysis. Some common approaches include textual analysis , thematic analysis , and discourse analysis .
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Table of contents:-, nature of research.
The basic nature of research is to advance knowledge and seek solutions to problems. To do this, we start with simple questions. For example, the fundamental questions in journalistic practice are: who, what, why, where, when and how. In research, these questions are addressed more systematically, reliably, testable, and replicable. In practice, all the questions are mixed, and it is difficult to isolate one from the other when dealing with human behaviour and social phenomena.
In research, these are isolated and studied in depth – separately and together. The basic premise is that any issue/event/phenomenon can be learned and subjected to appropriate systematic, objective scientific procedures, and conclusions can be arrived at that can preferably be generalised to the population. Such results and conclusions should also be amenable to replication as the search for knowledge is conducted with a defined set of rules and procedures commonly understood and shared by all sciences.
The following points can characterise the nature of research:
The research follows a systematic procedure to analyse a research problem in a better way. It is essential to avoid haphazard research methods and adhere to a well-structured approach for reliable outcomes. Researchers can proceed to the next step only after successfully concluding the previous one.
The basic tenet of research is “logic”. All the assumptions and analyses undertaken are based on certain logic. Research is a scientific, systematic, and planned investigation to understand the underlying problem.
Research is an iterative process. Sometimes it becomes necessary for the researcher to review the work of earlier stages, which makes it cyclic. Often it becomes harder for the researcher to find out the starting and ending points.
Research studies are empirical. Researchers employ various scientific tools and techniques at every step of the research process. Accuracy and reliance on observable experiences or empirical evidence are verified in each research step. Therefore, quantitative research is easier to validate than qualitative research, which is more conceptual.
Researchers frequently manage variable effects by permitting the variation of selected variables for testing purposes. Due to this reason, controlling the variables in scientific research is much easier than controlling the factors in social research. Hence in research, it is essential to control the variables carefully.
Research comprises two different words, “Re” and “Search”. ‘Re’ implies a repetitive or iterative process, whereas ‘search’ signifies conducting a comprehensive examination or looking over carefully to find something. Various researchers have defined research in different ways because of its expansive scope. In general, researchers define research as a scientific process that establishes and/or validates new facts, ideas, and theories across diverse domains of knowledge. The research aims at adding to the existing stock of knowledge for the betterment of the world.
According to Waltz and Bausell, “Research is a systematic, formal, rigorous and precise process employed to gain solutions to problems or to discover and interpret new facts and relationships”.
John Best states, “Research is a systematic activity directed towards discovery and the development of an organised body of knowledge.”
According to Clifford Woody, “Research comprises defining and redefining problems, formulating hypothesis or suggested solutions, collecting, organising and evaluating data. Making deductions and reaching conclusions to determine they fit the formulating hypothesis.”
Encyclopaedia of Social Science defines research as, “the manipulation of generalising to extend, connect or verify knowledge…” Manipulation incorporates experimentation adopted to arrive at generalisation.
Kerlinger (1973) defines “research as a systematic, controlled, empirical and critical investigation of hypothetical propositions about the presumed relationship about various phenomena.”
Burns (1994) also defines “research as a systematic investigation to find answers to a problem”.
Research involves scientific and systematic analysis of a specific area of study, culminating in the formulation of findings supported by sound reasoning.
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A good research should qualify in the following essential criteria:
A researcher should abide by the ethical standards laid down to conduct research accurately. Researchers must thoroughly examine, explain, and document both the research data and the limiting factors. This practice ensures transparency with the readers. The data should remain unaltered to accurately reflect the findings. The researchers must document the results of the study comprehensively.
Reliability refers to the repeatability of a research, tool, procedure, or instrument. The degree of reliability of a research study depends on the consistency of its findings. Researchers determine the reliability of their work by observing consistent results under similar conditions and procedures. For example, a researcher may study the effect of a course written in English on the final grades of a group of students. To ensure the reliability of the study’s findings, researchers can replicate the study with a different group of students and achieve consistent results.
Researchers must clearly define the objectives of a research study. Well-defined research objectives provide researchers with a clear roadmap to follow. It helps the researchers to determine the type of data required to efficiently conduct the research.
Accurate research occurs when the research process, instruments, and tools interconnect seamlessly. It verifies that researchers are appropriately selecting their research tools. For example, Observation is the recommended data collection method when researching mental patients, as it helps overcome the challenge of potential inaccuracy in questionnaires or interviews .
Research involves re-examining the data till correct findings arrive. This is possible only if the research approach is flexible. There should always be scope to add on significant data or modify existing data as needed.
The degree to which the result of research can be applied to a bigger population is called generalisability. While carrying a research, the researcher selects a small sample from a target population. Hence, the sample and the research findings accurately reflect the characteristics of the target population. If the research results can be applied to other samples from a similar population, then the research findings can be considered generalisable.
Validity is a measure of the applicability of the research. It refers to the suitability and efficiency of the research instrument or procedure regarding the research problem. Validity measures the accuracy of an instrument in measuring the problem. It is a measurement of the applicability of the research. Validity is the basis of deciding whether a research conclusion, assumption, or proposition is true or false. The validity of research is maintained by clearly defining the concepts involved.
Credibility means that the research data should be taken from trustworthy sources. Although the use of secondary data in research allows the researcher to complete the research within the timeframe, he loses credibility, as the secondary data are usually manipulated and hence relying exclusively on it can lead to erroneous and faulty research conclusions. A researcher should try to use primary data to the greatest extent feasible. If primary data is not available, then a specific amount of secondary data can be used. However, conducting research completely based on secondary data can harm the credibility of the research.
Research aims to uncover answers to questions by applying scientific procedures. The primary goal of research is to find hidden facts that have yet to be discovered. Although each research study has its specific purpose, research objectives can be broadly categorized into the following groups:
1. To test a hypothesis of a causal relationship between variables (such studies are known as hypothesis-testing research or experimental studies).
2. To gain familiarity with a phenomenon or achieve new insights into it (studies with this objective are termed exploratory research studies).
3. To determine the frequency with which something occurs or is associated with something else (studies with this objective are known as diagnostic research studies).
4. To accurately portray the characteristics of a particular individual, situation, or group (studies with this objective are known as descriptive research studies).
Research serves as a pool of knowledge. It is a vital source of guidelines for addressing various business, personal, professional, governmental, and social problems. It is a formal training ground, enabling individuals to understand new developments in their respective fields better.
The criteria for good research are outlined as follows:
1. The validity and reliability of the data should be examined.
2. The research report should be candid enough to assess the effects of the findings.
3. The research design should be carefully planned to generate results that maintain objectivity.
4. The purpose of the research should be clearly defined, and common concepts used should be operationally defined.
5. Data analysis in the research report should be adequate to reveal its significance, and the analysis method employed should be appropriate.
6. The research procedure must be precisely planned, focused, and appropriately described to enable other researchers to conduct further studies for advancement.
Good research possesses certain qualities, as outlined below:
Conclusions are drawn based on hardcore evidence from real-life experiences and observations. This reliance on concrete information provides a foundation for external validation of research results.
Good research contributes to developing theories and principles, aiding in accurate predictions regarding the variables under study. Through the observation and analysis of samples, researchers can make sound generalizations about entire populations, extending beyond immediate situations, objects, or groups being investigated.
Research is guided by the rules of reasoning and logical processes, including induction (general to specific) and deduction (specific to public). Logical reasoning enhances the feasibility and meaningfulness of research in decision-making.
The designs, procedures, and results of scientific research should be replicable, allowing anyone other than the original researcher to assess their validity. This ensures that one researcher can use or build upon the results obtained by another, making the procedures and results both replicable and transferrable.
Research is structured according to a set of rules, following specific steps in a defined sequence. Systematic research encourages creative thinking, avoiding reliance on guessing and intuition to reach conclusions.
Research involves precise observation and accurate description. Researchers select reliable and valid instruments for data collection and utilize statistical measures to portray results accurately. The conclusions drawn are correct and can be verified by the researcher and others.
The research strives to achieve the following needs:
The research seeks to describe the features of a particular phenomenon. It is one of the core activities of research where a researcher either observes the phenomenon and records its characteristic behaviour, conducts standardised tests to measure the behaviour or describes the change in attitude or opinion of the customers. For example, a researcher can describe the behaviour of smokers by either analysing or observing their behaviour by undergoing some standard tests, such as measuring per-day consumption, the level of resistance, etc.
The research emphasises applying the existing theories and models instead of developing new theories, for influencing various facets of the environment. Most of the research conducted in social, behavioural and educational research falls under the area of influence.
One of the prime objectives of research is to explore an unknown object or phenomenon. While exploring, a researcher tries to understand the details of the situation or phenomenon for developing preliminary hypotheses and generalisations. Exploring allows the researchers to develop theories and explain the questions of how and why a phenomenon operates in a particular way.
Another objective of the research is to explain several facts. The research aims to explain why and how a phenomenon operates in a specific way. Researchers develop theories to explain the behaviour of a particular phenomenon, these theories are prepared by determining the factors that cause the change and identifying their effects on the phenomenon. Most scientific and educational researchers have this objective for their studies. For example, if a researcher is trying to know, “Do holiday trips for employee families improve work-life balance?”. Therefore, the cause is ‘holiday trips’ and the effect is ‘work-life balance’.
Research is also conducted to predict future activities. Predictions can be made based on explanations regarding a phenomenon. Hence, for making forecasts adequate prior information is essential. Forecasting activity can also be performed on the research based on explanation. Here, predictions are made based on cause-and-effect relationships in a phenomenon. A good example of this objective is the research that analysts conduct during elections to predict the winning political party based on the information that they can gather from the voting polls.
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Home Market Research
Suppose an apparel brand wants to understand the fashion purchasing trends among New York’s buyers, then it must conduct a demographic survey of the specific region, gather population data, and then conduct descriptive research on this demographic segment.
The study will then uncover details on “what is the purchasing pattern of New York buyers,” but will not cover any investigative information about “ why ” the patterns exist. Because for the apparel brand trying to break into this market, understanding the nature of their market is the study’s main goal. Let’s talk about it.
Descriptive research is a research method describing the characteristics of the population or phenomenon studied. This descriptive methodology focuses more on the “what” of the research subject than the “why” of the research subject.
The method primarily focuses on describing the nature of a demographic segment without focusing on “why” a particular phenomenon occurs. In other words, it “describes” the research subject without covering “why” it happens.
The term descriptive research then refers to research questions, the design of the study, and data analysis conducted on that topic. We call it an observational research method because none of the research study variables are influenced in any capacity.
Some distinctive characteristics of descriptive research are:
A descriptive research method can be used in multiple ways and for various reasons. Before getting into any survey , though, the survey goals and survey design are crucial. Despite following these steps, there is no way to know if one will meet the research outcome. How to use descriptive research? To understand the end objective of research goals, below are some ways organizations currently use descriptive research today:
Some of the significant advantages of descriptive research are:
There are three distinctive methods to conduct descriptive research. They are:
The observational method is the most effective method to conduct this research, and researchers make use of both quantitative and qualitative observations.
A quantitative observation is the objective collection of data primarily focused on numbers and values. It suggests “associated with, of or depicted in terms of a quantity.” Results of quantitative observation are derived using statistical and numerical analysis methods. It implies observation of any entity associated with a numeric value such as age, shape, weight, volume, scale, etc. For example, the researcher can track if current customers will refer the brand using a simple Net Promoter Score question .
Qualitative observation doesn’t involve measurements or numbers but instead just monitoring characteristics. In this case, the researcher observes the respondents from a distance. Since the respondents are in a comfortable environment, the characteristics observed are natural and effective. In a descriptive research design, the researcher can choose to be either a complete observer, an observer as a participant, a participant as an observer, or a full participant. For example, in a supermarket, a researcher can from afar monitor and track the customers’ selection and purchasing trends. This offers a more in-depth insight into the purchasing experience of the customer.
Case studies involve in-depth research and study of individuals or groups. Case studies lead to a hypothesis and widen a further scope of studying a phenomenon. However, case studies should not be used to determine cause and effect as they can’t make accurate predictions because there could be a bias on the researcher’s part. The other reason why case studies are not a reliable way of conducting descriptive research is that there could be an atypical respondent in the survey. Describing them leads to weak generalizations and moving away from external validity.
In survey research, respondents answer through surveys or questionnaires or polls . They are a popular market research tool to collect feedback from respondents. A study to gather useful data should have the right survey questions. It should be a balanced mix of open-ended questions and close ended-questions . The survey method can be conducted online or offline, making it the go-to option for descriptive research where the sample size is enormous.
Some examples of descriptive research are:
Some other research problems and research questions that can lead to descriptive research are:
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Year after year, people with different personalities and backgrounds step into the field of research eager to develop the key qualities of a good researcher , only to find themselves faced with anxiety and self-doubt. Becoming a good researcher is a challenging task that requires a combination of skills and attributes as well as time, dedication, and a lot of hard work.
So what are the qualities of a good researcher and how does one build these must-have characteristics? This article answers this by sharing the top 10 qualities of a good researcher that you must work to develop, strengthen, and apply on your journey to research success.
Table of Contents
In conclusion, perfecting the characteristics of a good researcher is not quick or easy, but by working consistently toward developing or strengthening these essential qualities, you will be well on your way to finding success as a well-established researcher.
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Discover the essential 10 qualities of a good researcher! Uncover the traits that drive success in the world of research. Learn what it takes to excel in the quest for knowledge and innovation
Suppose a vast landscape of knowledge, uncharted and waiting to be discovered. Research is the compass guiding us through this territory, and at the helm of every great exploration stands a good researcher.
But what sets them apart? It’s not just knowledge; it’s a unique set of qualities that propel them towards understanding.
In this journey, we’ll uncover the very essence of a good researcher. We’ll delve into the top 10 qualities that define them. From unquenchable curiosity to unwavering perseverance, these qualities are the secret sauce behind their success in academia and exploration.
Whether you’re already treading the path of research or gearing up for the adventure, understanding and embracing these qualities will transform you into a research dynamo. So, let’s embark on this quest to unravel what makes a good researcher tick.
Table of Contents
Check out the 10 qualities of a good researcher:-
Think of a good researcher as that friend who’s always full of questions. They’re the eternal curious cats of the academic world, forever wondering, forever seeking, and forever hungry for knowledge. It’s like they have a built-in “Why?” button that never switches off.
A good researcher’s inquisitiveness is like the spark that lights up a dark room. It’s what pushes them to ask the questions no one else has thought of and venture into uncharted territories. They’re the ultimate seekers, the champions of “What if?” and “Why not?” It’s this insatiable curiosity that keeps their research fresh, exciting, and always on the hunt for more knowledge.
Imagine a good researcher as a treasure hunter in the vast desert of data. Research can sometimes feel like slogging through quicksand – slow, meticulous, and demanding. But here’s the thing: good researchers have an incredible treasure map, and it’s called “patience.”
They understand that research isn’t a race; it’s a journey. It’s about sifting through tons of data, the way a prospector pans for gold. Every grain of information matters, and they’re willing to invest the time needed to collect, analyze, and interpret data accurately.
This patience isn’t about twiddling thumbs; it’s about meticulously building the puzzle of knowledge, piece by piece. They understand that no detail is too small to be overlooked, and in the end, it’s these small pieces that complete the big picture.
Good researchers don’t rush; they savor the journey, knowing that the best discoveries often lie in the details. They are the patient architects of knowledge, and it’s their patience that ensures that no gem of information goes undiscovered.
In research, it’s the little things that matter most. A good researcher understands this like no other. They’re the ones who spot the faintest footprints in the sand and the almost invisible fingerprints on the glass because they know that in research, the devil truly lies in the details.
For them, every piece of information is a precious puzzle piece. They’re like puzzle enthusiasts, and they’re determined to find and fit every piece perfectly. Because, in their world, even the tiniest detail holds the potential to make or break a study.
In a realm where precision reigns supreme, good researchers are the vigilant guardians of information. They’re the ones who make sure no stone is left unturned, no detail is too minor, and it’s this unwavering attention to detail that transforms their research into something truly extraordinary.
Let’s picture a good researcher as the ultimate rebel of the research realm. They don’t just follow the herd; they’re the ones breaking the mold, challenging established theories, and stirring up the intellectual pot. Their secret weapon? It’s called critical thinking.
Critical thinking is like their sidekick, the Watson to their Holmes. It’s their power to look at information with a discerning eye, to cut through the noise, and make informed judgments. Good researchers? They’ve got critical thinking in their toolkit, and they’re not afraid to use it.
They’re not content with nodding along to the norm. No, they’re the ones who dare to ask, “Why?” and “What if?” They’re the Sherlock Holmes of academia, seeking the hidden clues that others might overlook. They’re the explorers who venture beyond the boundaries of convention.
For them, curiosity isn’t just a casual interest; it’s a full-blown investigation. They’re the skeptics, the truth-seekers, and the challengers of the status quo. Because they know that the road to enlightenment is paved with skepticism and paved with profound insights.
In a world where knowledge is the ultimate treasure, good researchers are the rebels with a cause. They’re the ones who question, challenge, and redefine the norm, making the pursuit of knowledge a thrilling adventure.
Let’s paint a mental picture of a good researcher as the master organizer of the research universe. Picture this: researchers often find themselves wading through mountains of data, like explorers in an information jungle.
But what sets good researchers apart is their exceptional skill in turning chaos into clarity through one magic word – organization.
These researchers are like the conductors of a grand symphony, where data plays the melodious tunes. They understand that without a meticulously organized score, the music may fall into chaos.
This is why they keep their work structured and well-organized. It’s like having a treasure map to navigate through the data wilderness.
For them, organization isn’t just a preference; it’s a necessity. It ensures that every piece of data, every note in the symphony, can be easily accessed and referenced when needed. It’s the librarian’s skill of categorizing, labeling, and arranging knowledge in a way that makes sense.
In a world where data can be overwhelming, good researchers are the navigators who chart the course from chaos to clarity. They bring order to the information realm, making sure that every piece of data finds its place in the grand mosaic of knowledge.
Imagine a good researcher as not just a discoverer of hidden treasures but also a gifted storyteller. Research isn’t merely about uncovering the unknown; it’s about sharing those discoveries with the world. Good researchers possess a unique superpower – effective communication.
They are the bards of academia, able to weave intricate tales of data and insight. It’s not enough to gather knowledge; they understand the importance of conveying it to their peers and the wider community. They’re like skilled translators, turning complex data into understandable narratives.
For them, research isn’t a solitary endeavor but a communal one. They can articulate their findings, transforming raw data into gems of wisdom. They speak not just to fellow researchers but to anyone who seeks understanding.
In a world where information is abundant but understanding can be scarce, good researchers are the bridges that connect data to meaning. They’re the ones who bring clarity to complexity, ensuring that their discoveries benefit not just themselves but all who thirst for knowledge.
Picture a good researcher as a moral compass, always pointing in the direction of what’s right. In their world, there’s no room for ethical shortcuts; they’re the guardians of integrity, setting the highest standards.
Ethical conduct is their unwavering principle, not a mere guideline. These researchers tread the path of knowledge with profound respect for all beings, be it humans, animals, or the environment.
They understand that research isn’t just about facts and figures; it’s about the impact on the world.
They are the ethical warriors who ensure that every discovery is made with the utmost respect for boundaries. They’re the ones who hold the torch of integrity, even when the road gets dark and uncertain.
In a world where ethical dilemmas can cloud the way, good researchers are the beacons of moral clarity. They remind us that the pursuit of knowledge should always be illuminated by the light of ethics, leaving a positive and lasting legacy.
Now, picture a good researcher as the ultimate research ninja. They know that in the world of research, surprises are the name of the game. What makes them exceptional? Their uncanny ability to adapt.
In their world, every research project is like a thrilling rollercoaster ride. They’re fully aware that not everything will go as planned.
But instead of dreading the unexpected, they welcome it with open arms. It’s not about dodging hurdles; it’s about using them as springboards for new discoveries.
Adaptability is their secret weapon. They don’t panic when faced with unexpected twists and turns; they thrive on them. They’re the daredevils of research, excited by the idea that every surprise brings a chance for a breakthrough.
They understand that research isn’t a linear path; it’s an expedition full of surprises. Good researchers approach each twist and turn as a new opportunity to learn, grow, and uncover the unknown.
Now, picture a good researcher as the indomitable hero of the research saga. The journey to groundbreaking discoveries is no walk in the park; it’s an epic adventure filled with obstacles and trials. What makes a good researcher extraordinary? Their unshakable perseverance.
In their world, setbacks are not dead ends; they are the very soil in which success takes root. They grasp that the path to pioneering research is not a sprint but a demanding marathon.
When confronted with challenges, they don’t retreat; they roll up their sleeves and forge ahead with unwavering resolve.
In their universe, perseverance is the North Star guiding them through the darkest nights of research. It’s the fire that keeps them warm when faced with the chilling winds of doubt.
They understand that every stumble is a lesson, every hurdle is an opportunity, and every fall is a chance to rise even higher.
In a realm where remarkable discoveries are born from sheer determination, good researchers are the embodiment of perseverance.
They don’t just weather the storms of research; they harness them to soar to new heights of understanding and innovation.
Think of a good researcher as a maverick in the world of problem-solving. They possess an innate ability to tackle research-related issues with a unique blend of creativity and unwavering determination. They’re not just issue-spotters; they’re issue-solvers.
In their realm, challenges aren’t roadblocks; they’re opportunities for innovation. Whether it’s deciphering a complex data conundrum, navigating unexpected research detours, or confronting formidable roadblocks, they approach each problem with a dash of unconventional thinking.
Their toolkit isn’t limited to traditional solutions; it includes a healthy dose of creativity. They know that sometimes the most extraordinary answers emerge from unconventional thinking.
When faced with adversity, they don’t back down; they dive headfirst into the challenge, armed with resourcefulness and an unyielding spirit.
In the world of research, where every obstacle conceals a chance for a groundbreaking discovery, these good researchers are the daring explorers.
They turn problems into springboards, propelling the journey of knowledge and unveiling new insights along the way.
: |
Exceptional researchers are a unique breed, possessing a blend of innate traits and developed skills that set them apart in the world of discovery. Here are the qualities that define an outstanding researcher:
Exceptional researchers are born with an insatiable curiosity about the world. They perpetually question, driven by an unrelenting thirst for knowledge. This curiosity fuels their exploration of new ideas and their deep dives into complex problems.
They are fiercely independent, unafraid to challenge conventions and think outside the box. This independence empowers them to conduct research with rigor and objectivity, free from preconceived notions.
Exceptional researchers are expert critical thinkers. They scrutinize information, identifying biases and assumptions. This skill enables them to draw well-founded conclusions from their research, undeterred by misinformation.
They are adept communicators, capable of presenting their findings clearly and concisely. Their ability to convey complex ideas is vital for sharing their discoveries with the broader scientific community.
Collaboration is second nature to them. Exceptional researchers seamlessly collaborate with others to achieve common research objectives. Their skill in teamwork is essential for handling large-scale research projects effectively.
Problem-solving is in their DNA. They spot issues, conceive and test solutions, and rigorously evaluate their effectiveness. This skill is the backbone of conducting thorough research.
In addition to these qualities, exceptional researchers boast an in-depth understanding of their chosen field. They stay abreast of the latest research findings and expertly apply this knowledge to their own work.
Furthermore, they adhere to ethical guidelines that govern research, conducting their inquiries responsibly and ethically.
Armed with these remarkable qualities, exceptional researchers not only expand our comprehension of the world but also contribute to solving critical problems and enhancing the quality of life for all.
Research is a multifaceted endeavor, marked by seven pivotal characteristics that define its essence:
At its core, research is grounded in empiricism. It shuns opinions, personal beliefs, and conjecture. Instead, it thrives on data and evidence drawn from real-world observations and experiments, bolstering its conclusions with solid support.
Research unfolds systematically, adhering to a meticulously designed process. It commences with defining the research question, identifying research methods, collecting data, rigorously analyzing it, and ultimately deriving well-founded conclusions. This systematic journey ensures both rigor and objectivity.
Logic forms the backbone of research. It forges conclusions that harmonize seamlessly with the laws of logic, yielding findings that are not only profound but also reliable.
Research possesses a cyclical essence. It commences with a question or problem, each exploration invariably begetting new inquiries. This continuous cycle propels researchers toward a deeper understanding of the ever-evolving world.
Research demands meticulous data analysis. Researchers employ diverse analytical techniques to uncover patterns, trends, and relationships within the data. This scrutiny unveils the latent significance of the data, facilitating the derivation of meaningful conclusions.
An unwavering objectivity characterizes research. Researchers diligently strive to avoid bias and partiality, ensuring that their personal beliefs or opinions exert no undue influence on their findings.
Research adheres to a replicability standard. Other researchers should be capable of replicating the study and achieving congruent results. This commitment to replicability bolsters the reliability and validity of research findings.
Incorporating these seven key characteristics, research emerges as a powerful tool for the exploration of the unknown, the validation of hypotheses, and the continuous advancement of knowledge.
When we delve into the world of outstanding research, we uncover the pillars that set it apart. Imagine these as the main characters in a compelling story:
This is the unwavering foundation. Exceptional research is built on solid evidence and meticulous reasoning. It follows a rigorous and objective path, supported by thorough data and in-depth analysis.
Consider this the heart of the matter. Exceptional research doesn’t shy away from addressing pressing questions and challenges.
It aims to contribute significantly to our understanding of the world and has the potential to solve crucial problems.
Think of this as the trailblazer, the innovator. Exceptional research ventures into uncharted territories, offering fresh and unique perspectives.
It doesn’t retrace well-worn paths; instead, it opens new doors to insights that haven’t been explored before.
These are the three pillars of remarkable research, igniting our quest to comprehend our world more deeply, confront significant challenges, and provide solutions that truly enhance our lives and the lives of those around us.
When we delve into the world of research, we discover the four cornerstones that define what makes research truly exceptional:
Imagine research as a sturdy ship navigating the vast sea of knowledge. What keeps it afloat? Credibility – the anchor of solid evidence and logical reasoning.
It’s about following a rigorous and objective methodology, with findings firmly supported by a wealth of data and meticulous analysis.
Good research is like a compass pointing to the critical questions and challenges that pique the curiosity of the research community and society.
It’s not just an exploration; it’s a journey with a purpose – to deepen our understanding of the world and unravel solutions to the most pressing problems.
Think of research as an explorer venturing into uncharted territory. It doesn’t follow the trodden paths; it forges its own.
Good research doesn’t echo what’s been said before; it blazes new trails, offering fresh insights and unique perspectives.
Effective research is a lighthouse, guiding others through the maze of complexity. Its findings are not buried in jargon or obscured by ambiguity.
They are presented with clarity and conciseness, ensuring that everyone can navigate the discoveries with ease.
These attributes, like the North Star, lead us in the pursuit of knowledge and understanding, casting light on the uncharted waters of research.
In the grand tapestry of knowledge, good researchers stand as the weavers of profound discovery. They embody a unique blend of qualities, shaping the course of understanding and change.
From the inquisitiveness that fuels their journey to the unwavering patience that carries them through the most intricate of labyrinths, these qualities are the compass, the guiding light.
The unquenchable curiosity of a good researcher keeps the embers of exploration burning bright. Patience, the steadfast companion, ensures that no detail remains in obscurity.
Their critical thinking propels them beyond the boundaries of convention, unraveling new layers of understanding.
In the chaos of data, they find serenity through organization, and in the midst of complexity, they wield the sword of effective communication.
Ethical integrity acts as their moral compass, while adaptability embraces the unpredictability of research’s twists.
But it’s perseverance, the indomitable spirit, that carries them through the darkest hours. They recognize that the path to groundbreaking research is often fraught with obstacles, but those obstacles serve as stepping stones to success.
These ten qualities, woven into the very fabric of their being, make good researchers the architects of transformation.
With every study they undertake, they draw closer to unraveling the mysteries of our world, bridging gaps in knowledge, and contributing to the betterment of humanity.
As we celebrate these qualities, we acknowledge the significance of their work. Through their endeavors, we glimpse the limitless potential of human exploration, and we are inspired to never cease questioning, exploring, and, above all, learning.
Can anyone become a good researcher.
Yes, with dedication and a willingness to develop these qualities, anyone can become a good researcher.
Research is unpredictable, and adaptability allows researchers to navigate unexpected challenges effectively.
Ethical integrity is vital in research to ensure the well-being of participants and the integrity of the study.
Researchers stay curious by continually seeking new questions and exploring uncharted territories in their field.
Critical thinking can be developed through practice and a commitment to questioning and evaluating information.
Other opioid–involved overdose deaths were opioid-involved deaths that did not involve buprenorphine. Thus, the buprenorphine-involved and other opioid-involved categories are mutually exclusive and together make up all opioid-involved overdose deaths. If date of death was missing, date pronounced dead was used. The 32 included jurisdictions were Alaska, Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Georgia, Illinois, Kansas, Kentucky, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, and West Virginia. Illinois, Missouri, and Washington reported deaths from counties that accounted for at least 75% of drug overdose deaths in the state in 2017, per the State Unintentional Drug Overdose Reporting System funding requirements; all other jurisdictions reported deaths from the full jurisdiction.
eTable 1. Jurisdictions Included in Each Analysis
eTable 2. Number of Buprenorphine and Other Opioid–Involved Overdose Deaths and Percentage of Opioid Overdose Deaths Involving Buprenorphine by Month of Death in 32 Jurisdictions From July 2019 to June 2021
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Tanz LJ , Jones CM , Davis NL, et al. Trends and Characteristics of Buprenorphine-Involved Overdose Deaths Prior to and During the COVID-19 Pandemic. JAMA Netw Open. 2023;6(1):e2251856. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.51856
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Question Did buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths change after implementing prescribing flexibilities during the COVID-19 pandemic?
Findings In this cross-sectional study including 74 474 opioid-involved overdose deaths, buprenorphine was involved in 2.6% of opioid-involved overdose deaths during July 2019 to June 2021. Although monthly opioid-involved overdose deaths increased, the proportion involving buprenorphine fluctuated but did not increase.
Meaning These findings suggest that actions to facilitate access to buprenorphine-based treatment for opioid use disorder during the COVID-19 pandemic were not associated with an increased proportion of overdose deaths involving buprenorphine; efforts are needed to expand more equitable and culturally competent access to and provision of buprenorphine-based treatment.
Importance Buprenorphine remains underused in treating opioid use disorder, despite its effectiveness. During the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the US government implemented prescribing flexibilities to support continued access.
Objective To determine whether buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths changed after implementing these policy changes and highlight characteristics and circumstances of these deaths.
Design, Setting, and Participants This cross-sectional study used data from the State Unintentional Drug Overdose Reporting System (SUDORS) to assess overdose deaths in 46 states and the District of Columbia occurring July 2019 to June 2021. Data were analyzed from March 7, 2022, to June 30, 2022.
Main Outcomes and Measures Buprenorphine-involved and other opioid-involved overdose deaths were examined. Monthly opioid-involved overdose deaths and the percentage involving buprenorphine were computed to assess trends. Proportions and exact 95% CIs of drug coinvolvement, demographics, and circumstances were calculated by group.
Results During July 2019 to June 2021, 32 jurisdictions reported 89 111 total overdose deaths and 74 474 opioid-involved overdose deaths, including 1955 buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths, accounting for 2.2% of all drug overdose deaths and 2.6% of opioid-involved overdose deaths. Median (IQR) age was similar for buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths (41 [34-55] years) and other opioid–involved overdose deaths (40 [31-52] years). A higher proportion of buprenorphine-involved overdose decedents, compared with other opioid–involved decedents, were female (36.1% [95% CI, 34.2%-38.2%] vs 29.1% [95% CI, 28.8%-29.4%]), non-Hispanic White (86.1% [95% CI, 84.6%-87.6%] vs 69.4% [95% CI, 69.1%-69.7%]), and residing in rural areas (20.8% [95% CI, 19.1%-22.5%] vs 11.4% [95% CI, 11.2%-11.7%]). Although monthly opioid-involved overdose deaths increased, the proportion involving buprenorphine fluctuated but did not increase during July 2019 to June 2021. Nearly all (92.7% [95% CI, 91.5%-93.7%]) buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths involved at least 1 other drug; higher proportions involved other prescription medications compared with other opioid-involved overdose deaths (eg, anticonvulsants: 18.6% [95% CI, 17.0%-20.3%] vs 5.4% [95% CI, 5.2%-5.5%]) and a lower proportion involved illicitly manufactured fentanyls (50.2% [95% CI, 48.1%-52.3%] vs 85.3% [95% CI, 85.1%-85.5%]). Buprenorphine decedents were more likely to be receiving mental health treatment than other opioid–involved overdose decedents (31.4% [95% CI, 29.3%-33.5%] vs 13.3% [95% CI, 13.1%-13.6%]).
Conclusions and Relevance The findings of this cross-sectional study suggest that actions to facilitate access to buprenorphine-based treatment for opioid use disorder during the COVID-19 pandemic were not associated with an increased proportion of overdose deaths involving buprenorphine. Efforts are needed to expand more equitable and culturally competent access to and provision of buprenorphine-based treatment.
The overdose crisis in the US continues to escalate, likely associated with the widespread availability of highly potent synthetic opioids, such as illicitly manufactured fentanyl and fentanyl analogs (IMFs) in the illicit drug supply. 1 , 2 Provisional data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimate more than 107 000 overdose deaths in the US in the 12 months ending July 2022, with more than 81 000 deaths involving opioids. 3 Expanding access to medications for opioid use disorder (OUD) is a central component of the US response to the overdose crisis. 4
Buprenorphine is a partial mu-opioid receptor agonist with lower potential for misuse and overdose compared with the full mu-opioid receptor agonist methadone. 5 Despite buprenorphine being the most accessible form of medication for OUD in the US, under current federal law, it can only be prescribed in office-based settings by clinicians with a Drug Addiction Treatment Act waiver; clinicians are limited to prescribing up to 30, 100, or 275 patients at a given time, depending on waiver limit. 6 , 7 Therapeutic benefits of buprenorphine treatment include reduced illicit opioid use and prescription opioid misuse, decreased risk for injection-related infectious diseases, and decreased risk for fatal and nonfatal overdoses. 5 , 8 - 14 Yet, buprenorphine treatment remains substantially underused. 5
During the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic, there were concerns for increased overdose risk among individuals with OUD from disruption to medications for OUD and other treatment access due to stay-at-home orders and temporary closures of medical and social services. 15 , 16 To facilitate continued access to care for individuals with OUD, the US federal government took actions following the declaration of the nationwide emergency on March 13, 2020. 17 , 18 In particular, on March 31, 2020, the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration and the Drug Enforcement Administration allowed Drug Addiction Treatment Act–waivered clinicians to remotely prescribe buprenorphine to new patients without conducting in-person examinations. 19 On March 27, 2020, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services expanded payment for telehealth services and provided flexibility on accepted communication technologies (eg, audio-only) for clinical care of substance use disorders (SUD). 20 , 21
Recent studies have reported that clinicians have used these emergency authorizations to initiate and continue buprenorphine treatment during the COVID-19 pandemic and that patients have benefited. 22 - 24 However, questions remain about whether there was an increase in buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths following implementation of these new emergency authorizations that removed historical measures intended to reduce diversion and misuse of buprenorphine.
This study assessed trends in buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths before and during the period of COVID-19–related buprenorphine prescribing flexibilities. Additionally, given very limited research on characteristics and circumstances of buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths, this study examined differences in characteristics and circumstances between buprenorphine- and other opioid–involved overdose decedents. These findings could inform ongoing policy discussions about potential permanent adoption of COVID-19 emergency authorizations related to buprenorphine prescribing and inform strategies to prevent buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths.
This cross-sectional study was reviewed by the CDC and was deemed not to be human research under 45 CFR 46.102(l); therefore institutional review board oversight and informed consent were not required. This study was conducted consistent with applicable federal law and CDC policy. This study follows the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology ( STROBE ) reporting guideline.
The CDC’s State Unintentional Drug Overdose Reporting System captures information on unintentional and undetermined intent drug overdose deaths from 47 states and the District of Columbia. 25 Jurisdictions abstract data from death certificates and medical examiner or coroner reports, including death scene investigations and postmortem toxicological findings. These sources capture drugs involved, decedent demographics, and overdose-specific circumstances.
Trend analyses included 32 jurisdictions (31 states and the District of Columbia; eTable 1 in Supplement 1 ) that reported unintentional and undetermined intent drug overdose deaths that occurred during July 2019 to June 2021, the 9 months before and 15 months after COVID-19 buprenorphine prescribing flexibilities were implemented. Twenty-nine jurisdictions reported all overdose deaths in their jurisdiction and 3 jurisdictions reported deaths from subsets of counties covering at least 75% of overdose deaths in the jurisdiction. Overdose deaths were restricted to those involving (ie, listed as a cause of death) at least 1 opioid, classified by whether buprenorphine was involved, and grouped by month using death date.
Analyses of drug coinvolvement, decedent demographics, and urbanicity included 47 jurisdictions with death certificate data available for at least one 6-month period during July 2019 to June 2021 (eTable 1 in Supplement 1 ). Among these, 10 jurisdictions reported deaths from counties that accounted for at least 75% of drug overdose deaths in the state for at least one 6-month period; all other jurisdictions reported deaths from the full jurisdiction. Overdose deaths were categorized into 2 mutually exclusive groups: buprenorphine-involved and other opioid–involved. To evaluate coinvolvement of other drugs, we classified deaths into the following nonmutually exclusive groups: any other drug, any other opioid, IMFs (includes fentanyl and fentanyl analogs classified using toxicological, scene, and witness evidence 26 ), cocaine, methamphetamine, prescription stimulants, benzodiazepines, antidepressants, anticonvulsants, cannabis, and alcohol. Additionally, sex, age, race and ethnicity, education, and county of residence 27 of decedents were examined. These variables were available from the death certificate and supplemented with information from medical examiner or coroner reports. Race and ethnicity were classified as American Indian or Alaska Native, non-Hispanic; Asian or other Pacific Islander, non-Hispanic; Black, non-Hispanic; Hispanic; multiple races, non-Hispanic; and White, non-Hispanic. Race and ethnicity data were included in analyses because proportions of overdose deaths and access to treatment for OUD often vary by race and ethnicity.
Circumstance analyses were restricted to 42 jurisdictions with medical examiner or coroner reports for at least 75% of decedents, as circumstance data come primarily from these reports, and to deaths with an available medical examiner or coroner report (eTable 1 in Supplement 1 ). Circumstances included events of the overdose (eg, naloxone administration, potential bystander presence); scene evidence (eg, route of drug use), evidence of history of drug use and treatment (eg, current treatment for SUD), and evidence of other circumstances (eg, homelessness or housing instability).
Monthly opioid-involved overdose deaths and percentages of opioid-involved overdose deaths involving buprenorphine during July 2019 to June 2021 were computed. Descriptive analyses of drug coinvolvement, demographics, urbanicity, and circumstances were categorized by buprenorphine or other opioid involvement and reported as proportions and exact 95% CI for categorical variables or medians and IQRs for continuous variables. Complete case analysis was conducted and supported given limited missing data (<2% for 14 of 16 variables with missing data; <5% for 2 of 16 variables). Eleven circumstance variables were completed as checkboxes within the State Unintentional Drug Overdose Reporting System; lack of endorsement was considered lack of evidence of the circumstance and included in the denominator of proportion calculations.
Sensitivity analyses were conducted to examine whether inclusion of jurisdictions with less than 100% of death certificates (for trend, drug coinvolvement, demographics, and urbanicity analyses) or less than 90% of medical examiner or coroner reports (for circumstance analyses) changed conclusions. Additionally, to assess whether results differed before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, analyses were stratified into prepandemic (July 2019 to March 2020) and during COVID-19 (April 2020 to June 2021) time periods.
Analyses were conducted in SAS statistical software version 9.4 (SAS Institute). Data were analyzed from March 7, 2022, to June 30, 2022.
During July 2019 to June 2021, 32 jurisdictions reported 89 111 total overdose deaths and 74 474 opioid-involved overdose deaths, including 1955 buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths, accounting for 2.2% of all drug overdose deaths and 2.6% of opioid-involved overdose deaths. Although monthly opioid-involved overdose deaths increased starting in March 2020, corresponding with the COVID-19 pandemic, the proportion with buprenorphine-involvement fluctuated but did not increase between July 2019 (3.6%) and June 2021 (2.1%) ( Figure ; eTable 2 in Supplement 1 ). Median (IQR) monthly opioid-involved overdose deaths increased 35.7% from 2520 (2468-2633) deaths during July 2019 to March 2020 to 3419 (3054-3828) deaths during April 2020 to June 2021, an increase of approximately 899 deaths per month. Median (IQR) monthly buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths increased 26.9% from 67 (65-78) deaths to 85 (80-97) deaths during the same timeframe. Nearly all of the increase in median monthly buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths was in deaths that coinvolved IMFs, which increased from a median (IQR) of 31 (28-34) deaths per month during July 2019 to March 2020 to 45 (42-52) deaths per month during April 2020 to June 2021. In sensitivity analyses, excluding jurisdictions with less than 100% of death certificates did not meaningfully change results.
Among 2238 buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths reported by 47 jurisdictions during July 2019 to June 2021, 2202 (98.4%) were categorized as unintentional and 36 (1.6%) were categorized as undetermined intent. Similarly, among 93 128 other opioid–involved overdose deaths that did not involve buprenorphine, 89 205 (95.8%) were categorized as unintentional and 3923 (4.2%) were categorized as undetermined intent. Among buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths, 92.7% (95% CI, 91.5%-93.7%) involved at least 1 other drug; only 67.2% (95% CI, 66.9%-67.5%) of other opioid–involved overdose deaths involved another drug ( Table 1 ). The proportion of deaths involving IMFs was lower among buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths (50.2% [95% CI, 48.1%-52.3%]) compared with other opioid–involved overdose deaths (85.3% [95% CI, 85.1%-85.5%]). However, a higher proportion of buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths, compared with other opioid–involved deaths, coinvolved prescription stimulants (4.5% [95% CI, 3.7%-5.5%] vs 1.7% [95% CI, 1.6%-1.8%]), benzodiazepines (36.9% [95% CI, 34.9%-39.0%] vs 14.5% [95% CI, 14.3%-14.8%]), antidepressants (13.9% [95% CI, 12.5%-15.5%] vs 5.0% [95% CI, 4.8%-5.1%]), and anticonvulsants, primarily gabapentin and pregabalin (18.6% [95% CI, 17.0%-20.3%] vs 5.4% [95% CI, 5.2%-5.5%]).
A larger proportion of buprenorphine-involved overdose decedents were female compared with other opioid–involved overdose decedents (36.1% [95% CI, 34.2%-38.2%] vs 29.1% [95% CI, 28.8%-29.4%]); this was opposite for males (63.9% [95% CI, 61.8%-65.9%] vs 70.9% [95% CI, 70.6%-71.2%]) ( Table 1 ). Although median age at death was similar across groups, a higher proportion of buprenorphine-involved deaths, compared with other opioid–involved overdose deaths, occurred in the 35 to 44 years age group and a lower proportion occurred in the 18 to 35 years age groups. Additionally, 86.1% (95% CI, 84.6%-87.6%) of buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths occurred among White, non-Hispanic persons, significantly higher than the proportion for other opioid–involved overdose deaths (69.4% [95% CI, 69.1%-69.7%]). In contrast, lower proportions of buprenorphine overdose deaths occurred in Black, non-Hispanic (5.7% [95% CI, 4.8%-6.8%]) and Hispanic (5.5% [95% CI, 4.6%-6.5%]) persons compared with proportions of other opioid–involved overdose deaths (Black, non-Hispanic: 18.8% [95% CI, 18.5%-19.0%]; Hispanic: 9.4% [95% CI, 9.2%-9.6%]). The highest proportion of overdose decedents overall had a high school degree or equivalent, but no differences in education level were identified between buprenorphine-involved and other opioid–involved overdose deaths. A lower proportion of buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths occurred in decedents living in large central metropolitan areas (18.2% [95% CI, 16.6%-19.9%]) compared with other opioid–involved overdose deaths (30.6% [95% CI, 30.3%-30.9%]); a higher proportion of buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths occurred in less urban and more rural areas ( Table 1 ).
In sensitivity analyses, excluding jurisdictions with less than 100% of death certificates did not change conclusions on drug coinvolvement, demographics, and urbanicity. Additionally, results remained similar when stratified by whether they occurred before or during the COVID-19 pandemic.
More than 96% of overdose deaths in the 42 jurisdictions included in circumstance analyses had a medical examiner or coroner report. A higher proportion of buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths than other opioid–involved deaths occurred at home (72.0% [95% CI, 69.8%-74.1%] vs 65.2% [95% CI, 64.9%-65.6%]) and had documentation of no pulse at first responder arrival (62.2% [95% CI, 60.0%-64.4%] vs 56.3% [95% CI, 55.9%-56.7%]) ( Table 2 ). Among buprenorphine–involved and other opioid–involved deaths, proportions of whether the drug use leading to the fatal overdose was witnessed (7.0% [95% CI, 5.9%-8.3%] vs 8.7% [95% CI, 8.5%-8.9%]) and naloxone administration (23.1% [95% CI, 21.2%-25.0%] vs 21.4% [95% CI, 21.1%-21.7%]) were similarly low.
Although approximately half of decedents in each group had no reported route of drug use, a lower proportion of buprenorphine-involved overdose decedents had evidence of smoking (9.8% [95% CI, 8.5%-11.2%]) and snorting (9.5% [95% CI, 8.2%-10.9%]) compared with other opioid–involved decedents (smoking: 14.1% [95% CI, 13.9%-14.4%]; snorting: 15.2% [95% CI, 14.9%-15.4%]) ( Table 2 ). Evidence of illicit drugs on scene was lower among buprenorphine-involved deaths (28.4% [95% CI, 26.4%-30.5%]) than other opioid–involved deaths (38.5% [95% CI, 38.2%-38.9%]).
Less than a one-fourth of buprenorphine-involved overdose decedents were reportedly receiving treatment for SUD (22.5% [95% CI, 20.7%-24.5%]), with 20.2% (95% CI, 18.4%-22.1%) of decedents specifically receiving medications for OUD ( Table 2 ). In contrast, only 5.9% (95% CI, 5.7%-6.1%) of other opioid–involved overdose decedents were reportedly receiving treatment, with only 3.2% (95% CI, 3.1%-3.3%) receiving medications for OUD. Current SUD treatment results were similar when stratifying by urban and rural county of residence. Similarly, among buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths, 30.7% (95% CI, 28.7%-32.9%) were persons with a reported mental health diagnosis and 31.4% (95% CI, 29.3%-33.5%) were persons reportedly receiving mental health treatment. Proportions were lower among other opioid–involved overdose deaths, with 22.9% (95% CI, 22.6%-23.2%) of decedents having a reported mental health diagnosis and only 13.3% (95% CI, 13.1%-13.6%) of decedents receiving mental health treatment at the time of the fatal overdose.
In sensitivity analyses, excluding jurisdictions with medical examiner or coroner reports available for less than 90% of overdose deaths in their jurisdiction did not change conclusions. Similarly, stratifying analyses by before or during COVID-19 did not change conclusions.
This cross-sectional study found that buprenorphine was involved in a very small proportion of drug overdose deaths (2.2%) and opioid-involved overdose deaths (2.6%) in the US during July 2019 to June 2021. Importantly, the proportion of buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths fluctuated but did not increase during the 15 months from April 2020 to June 2021 when buprenorphine prescribing regulations were relaxed due to the COVID-19 pandemic. These findings have important policy implications when policy makers consider whether COVID-19–related buprenorphine prescribing flexibilities should be permanently adopted. Additionally, our findings are consistent with a 2022 study reporting no association between COVID-19–related prescribing flexibilities for methadone-based OUD treatment and methadone-involved overdose deaths. 28
Our data show that median monthly buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths increased less than opioid-involved overdose deaths from before the pandemic to during the pandemic, even with expanded access. Moreover, most of the increase was deaths that coinvolved IMFs. Given continued expansion of buprenorphine prescribing—2021 data show more than 1 million patients receiving buprenorphine from retail pharmacies in the US 29 —our findings suggest that expanded prescribing was not associated with a disproportionate number of deaths involving buprenorphine.
Characteristics of overdose deaths in this analysis provide important insights about potential ways to improve safety and clinical outcomes. First, nearly all (92.7%) buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths involved at least 1 other drug, reflecting the complex nature of polysubstance use and SUD. 30 Second, compared with other opioid–involved deaths, buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths were more likely to involve prescription medications (stimulants, benzodiazepines, antidepressants, and anticonvulsants) and less likely to involve IMFs. Buprenorphine-involved decedents were also more likely to be receiving mental health treatment and to die at home. Most overdose deaths, regardless of drugs involved, occurred without another person being present, a known risk factor for fatal overdose. 31 Together, these findings highlight the need to advance programmatic and clinical strategies that embrace the complexity of polysubstance use rather than single-drug approaches, address cooccurring mental health and SUD in a comprehensive and coordinated manner, and integrate provision of naloxone and overdose prevention education for both individuals at risk for overdose and family members, caregivers, or others who might be in a position to respond to overdoses.
Although a larger proportion of buprenorphine-involved decedents had evidence of current treatment for SUD compared with other opioid–involved decedents, most individuals in both groups (78% and 94%, respectively) had no evidence of current treatment. This stark finding highlights the need to expand access to evidence-based treatment, particularly medications for OUD; improve treatment retention; and support long-term recovery. Furthermore, the large percentage of buprenorphine-involved overdose decedents without evidence of treatment may reflect buprenorphine misuse to suppress withdrawal and self-treat OUD in the absence of formal treatment access. Prior research has shown that motivations for buprenorphine misuse are primarily associated with treatment outcomes (eg, suppression of withdrawal) rather than related to euphoria. 32 , 33 Finally, the finding that a larger proportion of buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths, compared with other opioid–involved overdose deaths, were White non-Hispanic persons, may reflect lower rates of buprenorphine treatment among Black and Hispanic individuals. 34 , 35 Disproportionate increases in overdose death rates have been reported among American Indian, Alaska Native, and Black persons compared with White persons in counties with higher SUD treatment availability. 36 This may reflect treatment access barriers, including mistrust in the health care system, stigma, transportation access, and insurance status. 36 , 37 Policy and structural interventions are needed for more equitable access to medications for OUD among people from racial and ethnic minority groups, such as American Indian, Alaska Native, and Black individuals. 36 , 37
This study has some limitations. Analyses were limited to states with data available for deaths during July 2019 to June 2021; therefore, results might not be generalizable to the entire country. Ten states submitted data on subsets of counties, which could have impacted results; however, sensitivity analyses excluding them did not yield meaningfully different results. Similarly, twelve jurisdictions did not have 100% of death certificates for drug coinvolvement, demographics, and urbanicity analyses, and 4 states had less than 90% of medical examiner or coroner reports for circumstances analyses; their exclusion did not change conclusions. Medical examiner and coroner reports also likely underestimate circumstances because death investigators may have limited information. The time-frame included in trend, drug coinvolvement, urbanicity, and circumstances analyses spanned the prepandemic and pandemic periods, and combining these timeframes may have masked differences over time. However, analyses stratified by time period did not identify significant differences. Despite these limitations, to our knowledge, this is the most extensive assessment of buprenorphine-involved overdose deaths in the US to date.
The findings of this cross-sectional study suggest that actions taken by the US federal government to facilitate access to buprenorphine-based medications for OUD during the pandemic were not associated with an increased proportion of overdose deaths involving buprenorphine, providing evidence to inform discussions on permanent adoption of COVID-19–related buprenorphine prescribing authorities. Nonetheless, although rare, overdose deaths involving buprenorphine highlight the importance of overdose prevention and support for those using buprenorphine both under medical supervision or outside of treatment for SUD or pain. Efforts to expand more equitable provision of medications for OUD and harm reduction strategies are needed to address the increasing overdose crisis.
Accepted for Publication: November 29, 2022.
Published: January 20, 2023. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.51856
Open Access: This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the CC-BY License . © 2023 Tanz LJ et al. JAMA Network Open .
Corresponding Author: Lauren J. Tanz, ScD, National Center for Injury Prevention and Control, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 4770 Buford Hwy NE, MS 106-8, Atlanta, GA 30341 ( [email protected] ).
Author Contributions: Drs Tanz and Davis had full access to all of the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
Concept and design: All authors.
Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: Tanz, Jones, Davis, Compton, Baldwin, Han.
Drafting of the manuscript: Tanz, Jones, Compton, Baldwin, Volkow.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual content: Tanz, Jones, Davis, Compton, Baldwin, Han.
Statistical analysis: Tanz, Davis.
Administrative, technical, or material support: Baldwin, Volkow.
Supervision: Jones, Davis, Baldwin, Volkow.
Conflict of Interest Disclosures: Dr Compton reported owning stock in General Electric, 3M, and Pfizer outside the submitted work. No other disclosures were reported.
Disclaimer: The findings and conclusions in this study are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health, or the US Department of Health and Human Services.
Data Sharing Statement: See Supplement 2 .
Additional Information: Stephanie Snodgrass, MPH (Strategic Innovative Solutions) assisted with analysis. She was not compensated outside of her normal salary.
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Research on dynamic modelling, characteristics and vibration reduction application of hot rolling mills considering the rolling process.
2.1. coupled dynamic model, 2.2. model verification, 2.2.1. finite element simulation verification, 2.2.2. experimental verification, 3. analysis of dynamic response of the rolling mill system, 3.1. relationship between rolling excitations and rolling process parameters, 3.2. research on the influence of rolling process parameters, 4. on-site vibration reduction application in rolling mills, 5. conclusions, author contributions, data availability statement, conflicts of interest.
Click here to enlarge figure
Moment of Inertia/(kg·m ) | Effective Mass/(kg) | Effective Stiffness/(N·m/rad) | Effective Stiffness/(N·m ) |
---|---|---|---|
— | |||
— | — | — |
NF | Value (Hz) | NF | Value (Hz) |
---|---|---|---|
1st-order torsional mode | 15.8 | 1st-order vertical mode | 84.6 |
2nd-order torsional mode | 35.5 | 2nd-order vertical mode | 132.8 |
3rd-order torsional mode | 72.5 | 3rd-order vertical mode | 191.6 |
4th-order torsional mode | 112 | 1st-order horizontal mode | 25.6 |
5th-order torsional mode | 146.7 | 2nd-order horizontal mode | 91.1 |
NF | Theory Model (Hz) | Finite Element Model (Hz) | Error Rate (%) |
---|---|---|---|
1st-order torsional | 15.8 | 15.95 | 0.95 |
2nd-order torsional | 35.5 | 36.55 | 2.96 |
3rd-order torsional | 72.5 | 72.54 | 0.001 |
1st-order horizontal | 25.6 | 24.5 | 4.49 |
2nd-order horizontal | 91.1 | 86.5 | 5.05 |
1st-order vertical | 84.6 | 84.93 | 0.39 |
2nd-order vertical | 132.8 | — | — |
Parameter | Value |
---|---|
Base deformation resistance (45 steel) | 162 MPa |
Deformation resistance formula coefficients (45 steel) | A = 3.539; V = −2.78; C = −0.157; J = 0.226; E = 1.37; N = 0.342 |
Work roll radius | 0.425 m |
Billet temperature | 1100 °C |
Reduction rate | 50% |
Friction circle radius | 0.0322 m |
Backup roll radius | 0.8 m |
Force arm | 0.0326 m |
Rolling speed | 120 r/min |
Rolled piece dimension | 6 mm × 1250 mm |
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Lu, Z.; Zhou, D.; Yu, D.; Xiao, H. Research on Dynamic Modelling, Characteristics and Vibration Reduction Application of Hot Rolling Mills Considering the Rolling Process. Machines 2024 , 12 , 629. https://doi.org/10.3390/machines12090629
Lu Z, Zhou D, Yu D, Xiao H. Research on Dynamic Modelling, Characteristics and Vibration Reduction Application of Hot Rolling Mills Considering the Rolling Process. Machines . 2024; 12(9):629. https://doi.org/10.3390/machines12090629
Lu, Zhiwen, Duolong Zhou, Danfeng Yu, and Han Xiao. 2024. "Research on Dynamic Modelling, Characteristics and Vibration Reduction Application of Hot Rolling Mills Considering the Rolling Process" Machines 12, no. 9: 629. https://doi.org/10.3390/machines12090629
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Scientific Reports volume 14 , Article number: 20316 ( 2024 ) Cite this article
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Coal seam mining causes fracture and movement of overlying strata in goaf, and endangers the safety of surface structures and underground pipelines. Based on the engineering geological conditions of 22,122 working face in Cuncaota No.2 Coal Mine of China Shenhua Shendong Coal Group Co., Ltd. a similar material model test of mining overburden rock was carried out. The subsidence of overburden rock was obtained through the full-section strain data of distributed optical fiber technology, and the characteristics of mining surface subsidence were studied. The Weibull model was used to adjust the mathematical form of the first half of the surface subsidence curve via the MMF function. On this basis, the prediction model of coal seam mining surface subsidence was established, and the parameters of the prediction model of surface subsidence were determined. The test results show that with the advancement of coal seam mining, the fit goodness of the surface subsidence prediction curve based on the MMF optimization model reaches 0.987. Compared with the measured values, the relative error of the surface subsidence prediction model is reduced to less than 10%. The model displays good prediction accuracy. The time required for settlement stability in the prediction model is positively correlated with parameter a and negatively correlated with parameter b. The research results can be further extended to the prediction of overburden “three zones” subsidence, and provide a scientific basis for the evaluation of surface subsidence compression potential in coal mine goaf.
Introduction.
The underground mining of coal mine is accompanied by the initiation, expansion and penetration of the internal cracks in the overlying rock and soil mass, which leads to the movement, deformation and destruction of the rock strata to the goaf, causes the surface subsidence, and endangers the safety of the surface structures and underground pipelines 1 . The surface subsidence of coal mining is the result of deformation and failure of overlying strata from bottom to top. Through the monitoring of subsidence in the deformation evolution stage of overlying strata in coal seam mining, the prediction method of mining surface subsidence can be established, and effective prevention and control measures can be taken in advance to avoid and reduce the safety problems caused by surface subsidence 2 .
The settlement of overlying strata in goaf caused by underground coal mining is nonlinear and uncertain. It has become a new research direction to characterize the deformation and dynamic settlement of rock and soil mass through mathematical model. Combined with the field measured data to determine the time influence parameter C and the model order n, Zhang et al. 3 , 4 established an improved Knothe time function model by using the probability integral method, the two-medium method and the least square method. Based on actual geological conditions of a mine in East China, Ma et al. 5 , 6 t substituted he mechanical parameters into the Weibull composite subsidence prediction model (WCSPM) and the probability integral composite subsidence prediction model (PICSPM). Accordingly, they obtained the predictions of surface subsidence movement parameters. Chi et al. 7 introduced the multi-population genetic algorithm into the Boltzmann function and established a calculation model of mining subsidence parameters. Based on the dynamic model of improved probability integral method, Jiang et al. 8 established the observation condition equation of differential interferometric synthetic aperture radar (D-InSAR) monitoring mining subsidence, and proposed a three-dimensional deformation prediction method of mining subsidence. Sui et al. 9 established a mining subsidence prediction method combining D-InSAR technology and support vector machine regression algorithm. Oh HJ et al. 10 used logit boost meta-integrated machine learning model to predict land subsidence. Pal et al. 11 proposed a correction method for surface subsidence by using FNSE model and combining with the excavation parameters of long-arm mining face. The MMF (Morgan-Mercer-Flodin) model in the time function prediction model can well describe the development process of ground subsidence, and the model has a high consistency with the ground subsidence rate 12 , 13 , 14 . Surface subsidence is a dynamic problem caused by the voids in the goaf entering the surface along the overlying strata. The MMF model suffers reduced prediction accuracy when the geological conditions of rock strata are complex.
The advantage of distributed optical fiber sensing technology lies in using the optical fiber path to obtain the continuous distribution information of the measured field in time and space at the same time. It has been applied to the deformation monitoring of mining overburden 15 . Cuncaota No.2 Coal Mine of China Shenhua Shendong Coal Group Co., Ltd. is located in Yijinhuoluo Banner, Ordos City, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. Photovoltaic panels are installed on the surface above the 22,122 working face for power generation. Coal mining leads to the hidden danger of deformation and fracture of photovoltaic panels. This study set the 22,122 working face of Cuncaota No.2 Mine as the research object. Through the indoor similar material model test of mining overburden rock, the distributed optical fiber sensing technology was used to obtain the strain distribution of overburden rock in the process of coal seam mining, and the surface subsidence caused by mining was calculated. Aiming to solve the problem of insufficient accuracy in the prediction of surface subsidence caused by coal mining based on MMF model, Weibull model was introduced into the prediction method of surface subsidence based on MMF model, and MMF optimization model based on measured surface subsidence was established to determine the relevant parameters of the prediction model of surface subsidence. This study provides a theoretical basis for real-time control and treatment of surface subsidence above coal mine goaf.
Settlement prediction method based on mmf model.
The MMF model is a growth curve model with a 'S' type characteristic curve, and its model function form conforms to the evolution characteristics of surface subsidence caused by coal seam mining. The prediction expression of overburden subsidence related to MMF model is:
where \({S}_{t}\) denotes the surface settlement at time t; \({W}_{0}\) is the maximum settlement of the surface; a and b are parameters related to the geological conditions of overlying strata; and t represents the time of settlement.
The first and second derivatives of the MMF model of Eq. ( 1 ) are solved, and the expressions of surface subsidence velocity and acceleration are obtained.
Let \({W}_{0}\) = 1000mm, a = 1, b = 5, the relationship between surface subsidence value, settlement velocity and settlement acceleration based on MMF model is obtained, as shown in Fig. 1 .
Curves of surface subsidence, subsidence velocity and subsidence acceleration changing with mining time.
As can be seen from Fig. 1 , the surface subsidence curve of the MMF model exhibits obvious segmentation, and the settlement value of the initial stage and the stable stage of the settlement is small. Under the coal seam mining conditions in the underground coal mine, the strata in the caving zone first moves to the goaf and the subsidence develops rapidly, which is not consistent with the evolution characteristics of the initial stage of the MMF model.
In view of the difference between the predicted curve of MMF time function model and the actual subsidence curve in the early stage of coal seam mining, Weibull model is used to optimize and adjust the mathematical form of the first half of MMF function curve, so as to solve the problem that the overall prediction accuracy is reduced due to the small settlement value in the initial stage of settlement. The phased function form of the improved MMF model is established by using the time when the subsidence velocity of the surface monitoring point reaches the maximum \(\tau\) as the demarcation point, as shown in Eq. ( 2 ).
where u1 and u2 denote combined weights, which are non-negative numbers, and u1 + u2 = 1, which are determined according to Eq. ( 3 ); \(\tau\) refers to the maximum surface subsidence velocity moment; and t is the total time of surface subsidence deformation.
where \({e}_{i}\) is the settlement prediction error, and \({e}_{i}\) = predicted settlement value-actual settlement value.
Two methods are used to determine the maximum surface subsidence velocity time \(\tau\) .
Through the real-time monitoring of the whole section of the mining overburden, the second derivative of the fitting equation of the monitoring data is equal to zero, and the maximum settlement velocity moment \(\tau\) is obtained.
For the actual observation data missing conditions, according to the “Specification on Building, Water, Railway and Main Roadway Coal Pillar Setting and Coal Mining”, the total time of surface movement and deformation is calculated by Eq. ( 4 ):
where \({H}_{0}\) denotes the average mining depth of coal seam.
The time experienced by the active stage of ground surface subsidence deformation is 0.56 times of the total time T of the moving deformation, as shown in Eq. ( 5 ).
Model monitoring and excavation scheme.
The 22,122 working face of Cuncaota No.2 Coal Mine of China Shenhua Shendong Coal Group Co., Ltd. is mined along the long arm of the coal seam. The length and width of the working face are 800 m and 340 m, respectively. According to the engineering geological conditions of the 22,122 working face of Cuncaota No.2 Coal Mine and the histogram of BK26 borehole, the average burial depth of the 2 –2 coal seam to be mined is 255 m, and the average mining thickness is 3 m. Given the mining conditions, the physical and mechanical properties of the overlying rock and the size of the model test, the geometric similarity ratio was determined to be 200, and the stress similarity ratio was 333.33. River sand, lime, gypsum and other materials were selected to configure similar materials according to the ratio number; and the test model of similar materials in mining area was made. In the model test, the uppermost Quaternary clay layer is replaced by weights of the same weight. The physical and mechanical parameters and ratio numbers of the prototype and model of Cuncaota No.2 Mine are shown in Table 1 16 .
In order to grasp the deformation and failure characteristics of overlying strata in the process of coal seam mining, four vertical tight sheath strain optical fibers were laid in the similar material test model, and BOTDR ( Brillouin optical-time-domain reflectometer ) was used to monitor the strain distribution of overlying strata. The laying of the sensing fiber in the model test is shown in Fig. 2 .
Sensor optical fiber layout and coal seam mining area diagram in the model.
As can be seen, the coal seam mining face is advanced from the left side of the 50 cm open-off cut. The excavation distance of the coal seam is 5cm each time. A total of 30 steps are mined. After each excavation, data acquisition and next mining are performed 30 min later when the rock layer is stable.
Due to space limitation, this paper only analyzes the deformation characteristics of mining overburden according to the overburden strain distribution curve measured by A2 vertical sensing optical fiber during the mining process of 2 –2 coal seam. The strain distribution and deformation and failure characteristics of overlying strata during coal seam mining are shown in Fig. 3 .
Strain distribution and deformation failure diagram of mining overburden rock. ( a ) Overburden rock strain distribution curve and ( b ) Deformation and failure characteristics of overburden rock.
From the strain distribution curve of overburden rock in Fig. 3 , it can be seen that before the coal seam working face passes through the A2 monitoring hole, the compressive strain measured by the sensing optical fiber increases continuously with the advancement of the working face. When the coal seam working face advances from the open-off cut position to 60 cm, the optical fiber compressive strain reaches the extreme value, and the roof collapses for the first time. At this time, the roof failure height is 6 cm. When the coal seam is mined to 70 cm, the working face of the coal seam passes through the A2 sensing fiber monitoring hole. The strain measured by the A2 sensing fiber is gradually converted from compressive strain to tensile strain. The roof collapses for the second time, and the tensile strain concentration occurs at 12 cm from the roof of the coal seam. As the mining of the working face continues, the continuous collapse of the roof strata causes the stress release; the lower strain of the section measured by the optical fiber gradually decreases; and the strain value gradually shifts to the upper part of the monitoring hole. When the working face of the coal seam reaches the stop line, the tensile stress concentration occurs at 38 cm from the roof of the coal seam, and the tensile strain value of the A2 sensing fiber is 2200 με. Based on the measured strain, the mining fracture discrimination method 17 reveals that the development height of the caving zone is 12 cm, and that of the water-conducting fracture zone is 38 cm. It can be seen from Fig. 3 that there exists a good correspondence between the strain change measured by the sensing fiber and the deformation and failure characteristics of the overburden rock.
Calculation of subsidence of mining overburden rock.
There is a good coupling between the sensing fiber and the rock and soil mass around the monitoring hole. The settlement deformation of the mining rock and soil mass is calculated by the strain integral method 18 . The calculation formula of mining overburden subsidence is shown in Eq. ( 6 ).
where S denotes the settlement of overlying strata within the range of \({h}_{1}\) and \({h}_{2}\) from the roof of the coal seam, and the minimum spacing of BOTDR instrument is 0.05 m; and \(\bar{\varepsilon }\) refers to the average strain in the calculation area.
According to the measured strain distribution and Eq. ( 6 ) displacement calculation formula, the surface subsidence during coal seam mining is obtained. Based on the MMF model and the Weibull model, the surface subsidence measured by the A2 fiber is fitted to obtain the surface subsidence prediction curve. The surface subsidence curve based on A2 optical fiber monitoring data and theoretical prediction model is shown in Fig. 4 .
Surface subsidence curve based on A2 optical fiber monitoring data and theoretical prediction model.
From the surface subsidence curve shown in Fig. 4 , it can be seen that the surface subsidence speed is accelerated after 14 times of coal seam mining, and the surface subsidence speed is reduced after 24 times of coal seam mining. The surface deformation is mainly affected by the compaction of the caving zone and the subsidence of the fracture zone and the bending subsidence zone. The subsidence deformation of the mining surface is 'S' type. When the MMF model is used to predict the mining surface subsidence, the error between the measured values is large when the surface subsidence velocity does not reach the maximum velocity. After the local surface subsidence reaches the maximum subsidence velocity, there is a high consistency between the prediction model and the measured values. The goodness of fit reaches 0.992, verifying a good calculation and prediction result. When the Weibull model is used to predict the surface settlement, the relative error between the measured value and the measured value is less than 5% before the settlement development reaches the maximum settlement speed. Compared with the MMF model, it boasts of higher accuracy. However, in the later stage of settlement development, the overall prediction accuracy and goodness of fit of the Weibull model display a downward trend, and the relative error is large.
According to the fitting curves of Eqs. ( 1 ), ( 2 ) and Fig. 4 , the parameters W0, a, b of MMF model and the parameters W0, c, k of Weibull model are determined respectively, and the theoretical calculation formula of surface subsidence is obtained, as shown in Eqs. ( 7 ) and ( 8 ).
According to Eqs. ( 7 ) and ( 8 ), the time when the surface subsidence reaches the maximum subsidence speed \(\tau\) of MMF model and Weibull model in the 14th mining of coal seam is obtained. According to Eq. ( 3 ), the error weights u1 and u2 in the MMF optimization model are 0.78 and 0.22, respectively.
The settlement prediction formula of the MMF optimization model is shown in Eq. ( 9 ):
The surface prediction curve of Eq. ( 9 ) is analyzed with the settlement based on the measured data of A2 fiber, and the comparison results are shown in Fig. 5 .
Settlement prediction curve and error analysis of MMF optimization model.
It can be seen from Fig. 5 that the overall accuracy of the prediction curve is high when the MMF optimization model is used to predict the surface subsidence. When the coal seam is mined for the fourth time, the relative error is less than 20%. With the advancement of mining, the prediction error is reduced to less than 10%, and the goodness of fit reaches 0.987, indicating that the overall prediction accuracy of the MMF optimization model meets the requirements.
It can be seen from Eq. ( 1 ) and Fig. 1 that the parameters a and b have a great influence on the function form and prediction accuracy of the MMF model. Figure 6 shows the function curves when W0 is 100mm with varying a and b. To be specific, when b is 2.5, a is 50, 100, 5000, 1000, 5000, 8000; when a is 500, b is 2, 2.5, 3, 5, 7, 10, respectively.
The influence of MMF model parameters on the predicted value. ( a ) The influence of the change of parameter a on the model and ( b ) The influence of the change of parameter b on the model.
It can be seen from Fig. 6 that the effects of MMF model parameters a and b on the predicted values are opposite. With the increase of parameter a, the settling velocity decreases obviously, and the time to reach the stable stage of settlement increases. With the increase of parameter b, the settling velocity increases obviously, and the time to reach the stable stage of settlement decreases. Therefore, according to the rock and soil properties of mining overburden and the mining conditions of coal seam, the surface subsidence velocity and stability time are analyzed. Combined with the field monitoring data, the parameters a and b in the MMF prediction model are determined to improve the prediction accuracy of surface subsidence.
The study has achieved the following research results.
According to the evolution characteristics of mining-induced surface subsidence in coal mines, the Weibull model is used to adjust the mathematical form of the first half of the MMF function curve, and the MMF optimization model for mining-induced surface subsidence prediction is established. The goodness of fit of the prediction curve based on the MMF optimization model is 0.987, the average residual sum is 0.25, and the prediction error is less than 10% with the coal seam mining. The model displays good prediction accuracy, indicating that the model is suitable for mining surface subsidence prediction.
In the MMF prediction model, the time required for the settlement stability stage increases with the increase of parameter a, and decreases with the increase of parameter b. The values of parameters a and b in the MMF prediction model should be determined according to the rock and soil properties of mining overburden, coal seam mining conditions and on-site monitoring data.
There is a close relationship between the subsidence evolution stage of overlying strata in coal mine goaf and the engineering properties of 'three zones', namely, overburden caving zone, fracture zone and bending subsidence zone. Based on the full-section strain distribution data of distributed optical fiber technology, the settlement of the three zones is calculated. In the next stage, the MMF optimization model is used to predict the subsidence evolution process of the 'three zones' of the overburden rock, which can provide a basis for the evaluation of the compression potential of the surface subsidence evolution stage of the coal mine goaf.
The datasets generated during and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
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This article was funded by National Natural Science Foundation of China, under Grant No. 42277159.
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School of Resources and Geosciences, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou, China
Chunde Piao, Bin Zhu, Jianxin Jiang & Qinghong Dong
Qingdao West Coast New District Comprehensive Administrative Law Enforcement Bureau, Qingdao, China
Sichuan Zhongding Blasting Engineering Co, Ltd., Ya’an, China
Jianxin Jiang
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Piao. CD: Conceptualization, Methodology, Writing manuscript. Zhu. B: Data Curation, Revisions manuscript. Jiang. JX: Assistance for data acquisition and data analysis. Dong. QH: Provided theoretical insights, Funding acquisition.
Correspondence to Chunde Piao .
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The authors declare no competing interests.
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Piao, C., Zhu, B., Jiang, J. et al. Research on prediction method of coal mining surface subsidence based on MMF optimization model. Sci Rep 14 , 20316 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-71434-y
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Published : 02 September 2024
DOI : https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-71434-y
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